Have the polls predicted the next president with accuracy greater than random, in the last fifty years, might be a more interesting question, and it would provide the same information.
Or put still another way, are the polls more accurate across the last fifty years than Punxsutawney Phil has been at predicting the weather?
Has any modern president won the popular vote by more than the typical polls' margin of error?
Details:
Added 3+ months ago:
Well, considering that the average poll picked Clinton by somewhere around 6 points, I think it is safe to say that this election demonstrated the answer to my question. My question now is, "Why do they report polls as if they are hard news, when they are so obviously not working anymore, and haven't for some time?"
Answers
No answers have yet been posted. Add your answer to this question.